Thursday 2 March 2023 at 6pm (UK time) – Online event

SCENE SETTER: Key Trends to 2030 and beyond

Speaker: Franck Debie, Member ESPAS Steering Group and comments from Ajit Jaokar (University of Oxford), Moderator James Elles, Director, Ideas Network 2030.

Since its creation in 2012, ESPAS has produced 3 distinct reports, all benefitting from a broad input from international partners, whether in Asia or America. ESPAS is now embarked on drafting its fourth report to be published in early 2024. What are likely to be the major themes addressed by this report?

The exercise aims to provide a long-term horizon on the future of the EU in a global perspective, identifying the key strategic challenges and trends ahead such as for geopolitics, digital transformation and climate change/sustainability and energy transition.

The European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) brings together the various European Union institutions and bodies in a process of administrative-level cooperation designed to identify and analyse the medium- and long –term trends facing the European Union and their implications for policy-makers. This dialogue was established as a means of promoting longer-term thinking in the EU’s policy process.

Video summaries from the event

Franck Debie explains what resources are available today about the trends to 2040 (3 min 20 sec video)

Franck Debie explains the role of a less westernised global economy, the effects of changes in global life expectancy and affordable health, plus the impact of volatile growth (7 min 15 sec video).

Franck Debie talks about factors of instability (3 min video).

Ajit Jaokar explains what is meant by Artificial Intelligence (3 min 6 sec video).

Ajit Jaokar answers a question about whether AI will be the big disruptor in technology towards 2040 (2 min video).

Ajit Jaokar and Franck Debie answer a question about the likely effects of AI on the job market (3 min 46 sec video).

Ajit Jaokar answers a question about the three things that will be most important towards 2030 (2 min video).

Slides presented by Franck Debie

Dr Franck Debie 

Based in Brussels, he is a director at the European Parliamentary Research Service (EPRS). He is also a member of the Steering Group of the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS). A human and political geographer. Franck headed the department of Geography and Geopolitics at the Ecole Normale Superieure in Paris. On the French Centre Right, he led policy planning for the UMP Party under Alain Juppe and Edouard Philippe (Fondapol).

Ajit Jaokar 

Based in London, his work spans research, entrepreneurship, and academia relating to Artificial Intelligence (AI) with Cyber-Physical systems, He is the course director of the course: Artificial Intelligence: Cloud and Edge Implementations at the University of Oxford. He is a visiting fellow in Engineering Sciences at the University of Oxford. He is also working on a book to teach AI using mathematical foundations at the high school level.

James Elles

James Elles was a British Conservative member of the European Parliament from 1984 to 2014. He is Co-founder of the European Internet Forum (EIF) and the Founder and Chairman of the Transatlantic Policy Network (TPN). He is also the Honorary President of the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) and Director of the Ideas Network 2030.

IN2030 events are organised in cooperation with the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, the Wilfred Martens Centre for European Studies and the Conservative European Forum. This event receives financial support from the European Parliament. Sole Liability rests with the organizers, the European Parliament is not responsible for the activity.